Results tagged ‘ Stats ’

Playing with stats

The Cardinals are:

17-10 when Adam Wainwright starts. 16-10 when Braden Looper starts.
So they’re 33-20 with the front of their rotation, and 34-47 when anybody else pitches.

Another way to look at it, though. They are:

4-15 with Anthony Reyes and 5-17 with Kip Wells.
So they’re 9-32 with the back end of their rotation, and 58-35 when it’s anybody else pitching.

Still another way to look at it. They are:
45-23 when a member of the 2006 bullpen (Wainwright, Looper, Thompson) starts.

Or another way. Out of the current six-man rotation, they are:
37-22 when Wainwright, Looper or Pineiro starts, and
9-21 when Wells, Maroth or Mulder (obviously 0-0) starts.

Just some different ways to look at the same data. All calculations, done in the 9th inning today, assume the Redbirds do not, in fact, score 11 runs in the bottom of the ninth.

-M.

Matchups and whatnot

Curious lineup decision by TLR tonight.

David Eckstein is out, thanks largely to his 3-for-19 mark against Ted Lilly as well as the day game tomorrow. Brendan Ryan is at SS, and Aaron Miles is at 2B. Miles makes sense in this lineup. He’s 7-for-21 against Zambrano, and Big Z has an absolutely massive platoon split (188/256/313 vs RHH, 282/388/451 vs LHH). But why Ryan tonight, rather than Eckstein tonight and Ryan tomorrow morning?

Eckstein has an even worse line against Monday starter Ted Lilly (4-for-29, .138), while Ryan has hits in both his at-bats against the lefty. And Miles should definitely be in there tomorrow, since he’s been a very good OBP man against LHP.

If it were up to me, it’d be Eckstein at SS and Miles at 2B tonight, then Ryan at SS and Miles at 2B tomorrow. Instead, it’s Ryan and Miles tonight, and quite possibly Eckstein and Ryan tomorrow. There may be more considerations that I don’t know about. It’s certainly possible. But to my eye, it looks like that’d be the better way to go.

-M.

The champagne of ballparks?

Your stat of the day:

Yadier Molina…

Career home runs at new Busch Stadium: 3
Career home runs at Miller Park: 4

-M.

Trivia

Quick, name the player who:

* is batting .433 in close-and-late situations this year,

* is batting .294 with runners in scoring position and two outs,

* hit .310/.358/.506 with RISP in 2006,

* hit .333/.400/.542 with RISP and two outs in 2006,

* is a lifetime .325/.353/.500 hitter with the bases loaded,

* has a lifetime line of .286/.369/.461 line with RISP and two outs,

* rates among the baserunning leaders this year in advancing on flyballs hit by other players (source: Baseball Prospectus), indicating at least some level of hustle on the basepaths, and

* rated four runs above average as a defensive right fielder in 2006 (again, thx to BP).

Hint: this player is widely perceived to be not clutch, not a good defender and not a hustling player.

Note: none of this means that said player is necessarily a great ballplayer. It does not mean that Player X should be starting every day. Just a little thought exercise about re-thinking perceptions.

-M, listening to "Music from Big Pink" by The Band.

Odd and random stat of the night

Don’t ask why, but I looked this up tonight. Albert Pujols destroys Dominican pitchers.

There are nine Dominican pitchers against whom Pujols has at least 10 career at-bats. They are Ramon Ortiz, Jose Lima, Jose Mesa, Salomon Torres, Pedro Astacio, Victor Santos, Octavio Dotel, Odalis Perez and Claudio Vargas.

Against those nine pitchers, Pujols is 59-for-134 — that’s a .440 batting average. He’s hit 17 home runs in those 134 at-bats.

It doesn’t mean a thing. But it’s a cool number. This is the way my brain works.

-M.

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